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2024-12-13 04:38:49

The increase of inter-bank interest rate bonds continued to expand. The yield of China's 10-year active bond 240011 hit a new low of 1.86%, falling by 4.50 basis points in the day.China's annual export rate in November was 5.8%, the previous value was 11.20%. China's annual import rate in November was -4.7%, while the previous value was -3.70%.In the arrest warrant of Jin Longxian, the South Korean prosecutor clearly identified Yin Xiyue as the "chief offender of civil strife". According to a report by South Korea's Central Daily News on the 10th, on the 9th, South Korean President Yin Xiyue became the first incumbent president who was banned from leaving the country. This was the decision only six days after the "12.3 Emergency Martial Law Incident". On the same day, when the South Korean prosecutor applied for the arrest of former Defense Minister Jin Longxian, Yin Xiyue was clearly identified as the first offender of the crime of civil strife. According to the report, the South Korean prosecutor identified Jin Longxian as one of the leaders of civil strife in the arrest warrant, and was suspected of suggesting the implementation of emergency martial law and participating in important civil strife tasks. Yin Xiyue, who ordered the declaration of martial law, was accused of being "the first offender of rebellion". It is understood that the prosecution also listed other major commanders who deployed armed forces to Congress and other places as accomplices in civil strife. (Zhongxin. com)


By 11:21, 100 stocks in the two cities had daily limit.Liang Zhonghua of Haitong Securities: The general direction of "positive" macro policy in 2025 has been determined, and the Political Bureau of the Communist Party of China (CPC) Central Committee held a meeting on December 9 to analyze and study the economic work in 2025. Liang Zhonghua, chief macro analyst of Haitong Securities, said that judging from the statement of the meeting, the general direction of "positive" macro policy in 2025 is certain. Among them, "supernormal countercyclical adjustment" was put forward for the first time. Liang Zhonghua analyzed that "supernormal adjustment" may be different from QE (quantitative easing) in western countries, but refers to a traditional tool that has grown steadily in the past few years, making a breakthrough on the margin and playing the role of "keeping innovation" and "enriching and perfecting the policy toolbox". Judging from the policies that have been issued since September, this round of steady growth is a steady growth under the framework of "high quality". The high-quality framework will not change, and there will be no strong stimulation of flood irrigation. The meeting proposed to "implement a more active fiscal policy and a moderately loose monetary policy". Liang Zhonghua believes that next year's finance is expected to make further marginal efforts. It is expected that deficit ratio may improve. At present, 3.5%-4.0% is more likely, and the scale of special bonds may be marginally increased. Special government bonds supporting "duality" and "two innovations" will continue to be issued or increased. In addition, the debt-melting policy launched in November will also be the financial focus next year, and it is expected that special government bonds may be issued to supplement bank capital. In addition, the gradual interest rate cut will continue next year, and the structural monetary policy will continue to exert its strength. The meeting stressed that "it is necessary to vigorously boost consumption, improve investment efficiency, and expand domestic demand in all directions." In this regard, Liang Zhonghua believes that compared with Politburo meeting of the Chinese Communist Party's statement of "expanding domestic demand with the focus on boosting consumption" in July, this meeting pays more attention to expanding domestic demand, and its support is expected to be further increased in the future. Since the beginning of this year, with the extra-long special national debt funds in place, the consumption of consumer goods trade-in policy has gradually emerged. There is still room for further efforts to expand domestic demand policies such as replacing old consumer goods with new ones next year. Liang Zhonghua also mentioned that this meeting clearly put forward "stabilizing the property market and stock market", which shows that the policy pays high attention to the property market and stock market. As an important signal to pay attention to the economy and expectations, the policies of the property market and stock market are also positive.Spot silver exceeded $32/oz, up 0.54% in the day.


Low-altitude economic concept stocks strengthened locally, with Guangyang shares and Rice Information up more than 6%, and Tianao Electronics, Wan Feng Aowei and Jindun shares up more than 5%.Liang Zhonghua of Haitong Securities: The general direction of "positive" macro policy in 2025 has been determined, and the Political Bureau of the Communist Party of China (CPC) Central Committee held a meeting on December 9 to analyze and study the economic work in 2025. Liang Zhonghua, chief macro analyst of Haitong Securities, said that judging from the statement of the meeting, the general direction of "positive" macro policy in 2025 is certain. Among them, "supernormal countercyclical adjustment" was put forward for the first time. Liang Zhonghua analyzed that "supernormal adjustment" may be different from QE (quantitative easing) in western countries, but refers to a traditional tool that has grown steadily in the past few years, making a breakthrough on the margin and playing the role of "keeping innovation" and "enriching and perfecting the policy toolbox". Judging from the policies that have been issued since September, this round of steady growth is a steady growth under the framework of "high quality". The high-quality framework will not change, and there will be no strong stimulation of flood irrigation. The meeting proposed to "implement a more active fiscal policy and a moderately loose monetary policy". Liang Zhonghua believes that next year's finance is expected to make further marginal efforts. It is expected that deficit ratio may improve. At present, 3.5%-4.0% is more likely, and the scale of special bonds may be marginally increased. Special government bonds supporting "duality" and "two innovations" will continue to be issued or increased. In addition, the debt-melting policy launched in November will also be the financial focus next year, and it is expected that special government bonds may be issued to supplement bank capital. In addition, the gradual interest rate cut will continue next year, and the structural monetary policy will continue to exert its strength. The meeting stressed that "it is necessary to vigorously boost consumption, improve investment efficiency, and expand domestic demand in all directions." In this regard, Liang Zhonghua believes that compared with Politburo meeting of the Chinese Communist Party's statement of "expanding domestic demand with the focus on boosting consumption" in July, this meeting pays more attention to expanding domestic demand, and its support is expected to be further increased in the future. Since the beginning of this year, with the extra-long special national debt funds in place, the consumption of consumer goods trade-in policy has gradually emerged. There is still room for further efforts to expand domestic demand policies such as replacing old consumer goods with new ones next year. Liang Zhonghua also mentioned that this meeting clearly put forward "stabilizing the property market and stock market", which shows that the policy pays high attention to the property market and stock market. As an important signal to pay attention to the economy and expectations, the policies of the property market and stock market are also positive.General Administration of Customs: In the first 11 months, the import and export of private enterprises was 21.99 trillion yuan, accounting for 55.3% of China's total foreign trade. According to the data of the General Administration of Customs, in the first 11 months, the import and export of private enterprises was 21.99 trillion yuan, up 8.7%, accounting for 55.3% of China's total foreign trade, up 2 percentage points over the same period last year. Among them, the export was 14.86 trillion yuan, up 9.2%, accounting for 64.5% of China's total export value; Imports amounted to 7.13 trillion yuan, up 7.9%, accounting for 42.6% of China's total import value. In the same period, the import and export of foreign-invested enterprises reached 11.67 trillion yuan, up by 1.1%, accounting for 29.3% of China's total foreign trade. Among them, exports were 6.36 trillion yuan, an increase of 2.1%; Imports reached 5.31 trillion yuan, down 0.1%. The import and export of state-owned enterprises was 6.04 trillion yuan, down 0.7%, accounting for 15.2% of China's total foreign trade. Among them, the export was 1.79 trillion yuan, an increase of 3.9%; Imports were 4.25 trillion yuan, down 2.5%. (General Administration of Customs)

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